The eroding poll numbers of Biden, the United States President, have been a major scenario in the political world for approximately three months. Moreover, with the presidential approval rating, a much-watched sign of how the Democratic party will perform in the midterms elections of 2022 – when Democratic leasers will fight to keep their razor-thin majorities in the Senate and House of Representatives – each drop in the numbers of Biden is possible to drove more anxiety in Democratic circles.
At present, Biden stands at forty-three percent approval and fifty-one percent disapproval in an average of the latest state polls from Real Clear Politics. While that is nothing for the president to brag about, it is better than former president Donald Trump. Trump stood at forty percent approval and fifty-five percent disapproval in an average of the polls at this stage in his first year in office.
37% approval rating; 50% disapprove
27% approve; 58% disapprove
36% approve; 53% disapprove
In addition, 36% of Americans believe the economy will be in a stronger position 12 months from now, an 11-point drop from March 2021.
— Jenny Beth Martin (@jennybethm) October 22, 2021
Biden’s Approval Ratings’ comparison his Democratic Predecessor Presidents
However, Biden trials his two most recent predecessors of the Democratic party. Former President Barack Obama stood at fifty-two to forty-three percent on this date in 2009, and former president Bill Clinton was just above the water, at forty-eight percent to forty-five percent in late October of 1993. Republican former President George W. Bush was at eighty-eight percent approval and nine percent disapproval in October of 2001, as the U.S. briefly tossed aside partisanship and afterward unified in the wake of the deadly 9/11 terrorist attacks.
Whereas the approval ratings of Bush finally dropped from the stratosphere, they remained healthy during the 2002 midterm election year – as the country fought the war in Afghanistan against the terrorist group Taliban – and the Republicans gained minor gains in both Senate and the House. But Obama and Clinton did not fare closely as well. Approval ratings of both presidents fell into negative territory during the midterm election campaigns, driving huge Republican waves in the 1994 and 2010 midterm elections.
Furthermore, the negative numbers of Donald Trump did not improve during the midterms of 2018, when the Democratic party stormed back to capture the House majority.
Will midterm history in the U.S. repeat itself in 2022?
Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducted the Fox News poll with Democratic leader Chris Anderson, highlighted the falling ratings of Biden on the economy must be a key concern for the White House. Factually, bad economic news spells any president trouble for the mandatory party in the midterm elections. Shaw was pointing to thirty-nine percent approval of Biden on handling the country’s economy in the latest national poll of Fox News, which was conducted from 16th October to 19th October.
The approval of the president on the economy jumps eleven points from the previous Fox News poll, which was conducted one month ago. Furthermore, the fall comes amid an increase in inflation, which drove a plunge in gas and food prices. The approval rating of Biden hovered in the low to mid-50s during his initial six months in the White House. However, the Biden’s numbers began sinking in August in the wake of the president’s much-criticized handling of the raging United States withdrawal from Afghanistan and following a surge in coronavirus cases this summer among unvaccinated Americans due to the spread of highly contagious delta variant as the country continues to fight the COVID-19, the worst outbreak to strike the world in a century.
Factors Behind the Fall in Approval Rating
The rise in consumer prices and the latest surge of migrants trying to cross into the United States along the southern border with Mexico compounded the flagging numbers of the president. But, worryingly, the fall in the approval ratings of Biden appears to be coming from two groups that helped provoke the blue wave in 2018 and Joe Biden’s defeat of Donald Trump in the U.S. 2020 Presidential Election. In the same way, Biden’s approval ratings among independent voters plunged from forty-three percent in September to thirty-six percent now – and he fell nine points among residential women – from fifty-nine percent in September to fifty percent this month.